The Defanging Effect of Education and Autocratic Survival - Ecole Centrale de Marseille
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail (Working Paper) Année : 2024

The Defanging Effect of Education and Autocratic Survival

Résumé

The modernisation theory of regime change is often perceived to be a murky paradigm, lacking theoretical or empirical foundations. In response, we clarify the links between education and regime change. More specifically, we propose that education contributes indirectly to the collapse of autocratic regimes because educated people engage in non-violent (civil) resistance that reduces the effectiveness of the security apparatus. We empirically test the validity of this ‘defanging effect’ of education. We indeed find that the combination of high autocracy and high education levels tends to trigger non-violent campaigns, which in turn increases the likelihood of a regime change, often associated with political liberalisation and, to a lesser degree, democratisation.
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Dates et versions

hal-04786036 , version 1 (15-11-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04786036 , version 1

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Raouf Boucekkine, Rodolphe Desbordes, Paolo Melindi-Ghidi. The Defanging Effect of Education and Autocratic Survival. 2024. ⟨hal-04786036⟩
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